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Canada


Lac-Saint-Jean


Latest projection: April 21, 2024
BQ safe hold
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Lac-Saint-Jean 50% ± 8%▲ 28% ± 7%▲ 15% ± 5%▼ 3% ± 3%▼ 3% ± 3%▲ BQ 2021 50.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac-Saint-Jean >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 28% ± 7% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% BQ 50% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Jean 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Jean



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 44.0% 50.9% 50% ± 8% CPC 22.4% 25.2% 28% ± 7% LPC 25.8% 19.0% 15% ± 5% NDP 5.2% 3.3% 3% ± 3% GPC 1.9% 1.6% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.